Iindaba-Iyakuba yintoni imfuno yentengiso yeebholiti zelori e-Afrika ngo-2025?

Iimpawu zeMbango yeMarike yeIlori iiBoltse-Afrika ngo-2025

Umxholo woShishino

Imarike yezithuthi zorhwebo zaseAfrika ikhula ngokukhula, kunye nemfuno yebholt eqikelelwa ukuba ifikelele kwi-380 yezigidi zeerandi ngo-2025 (Frost & Sullivan). Oku kunyuka kuphenjelelwa zizinto ezintathu ezisebenzisanayo: ukukhulula urhwebo olunqumla imida phantsi kwe-AfCFTA, intsebenziswano yoshishino yaseTshayina “yeBhinti kunye neNdlela”, kunye neenkqubo zokuphucula iziseko zophuhliso zengingqi.

I. Funa abaqhubi

Ukwanda kokuThunyelwa kweLori kumazwe angaphandle:

Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuMeyi 2025, i-China yathumela iilori ze-222,000 e-Afrika (idatha ye-CAAM), ukunyuka kwe-67% ngonyaka, kunye ne-58% yezithuthi zempahla.

Inkqubo: Ilori nganye enzima ifuna iibholithi eziphakamileyo ezingama-2,000+ ngokomndilili. Ukukhula kokuthumela kwamanye amazwe kudala uqikelelo lweetoni ezili-15,000 zonyaka zokunyuka kwemfuno yebholithi.

Imeko: Iilori ze-HOWO ze-Sinotruk zilawula iimarike zaseMntla Afrika, kunye namazinga okusilela kwe-bolt ngaphantsi kwe-0.3% kwiimeko zentlango.

Ukwandiswa kweMveliso yaseKhaya:

IiOEM zaseTshayina zisebenzisa izityalo ze-KD ezingama-29 kulo lonke elase-Afrika (i-Algeria, iNigeria, i-Ethiopia), kunye nomthamo opheleleyo ofikelela kwiiyunithi ezingama-50,000 ngonyaka.

Impembelelo yeKhonkco loNikezelo: Indibano yengingqi ifuna i-30-40% ye-inventri ekhawulezayo ngaphezu kokungenisa kwe-CBU ukulungiselela ukuguquguquka kwemveliso.

Umzekelo: Imithombo yemveliso ye-FAW yaseTanzania i-72% yeebholiti ezivela kubaboneleli baseTshayina abafana noomatshini base-Shanghai Prime.

Utyalo-mali oluKhawulezileyo lweziSeko ezinguNdoqo:

Nge-175 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ezizinikeleyo kwiziseko zophuhliso lwezothutho (PIDA 2025), amazwe afana neKenya (ukufudukela ezidolophini ngama-42%) abonisa i-23% ye-CAGR kwimfuno yelori yokwakha.

Imfuno ye-Spillover: I-excavator nganye ethengisiweyo ivelisa i-2-3x ye-bolt yemfuno yokuxhasa iilori ngolondolozo lwe-lifecycle.

II. Iimpawu zeMarike

Ulawulo lweendleko zokusebenza:

Izixhobo zoomatshini baseTshayina zibamba i-43% yesabelo semarike (i-Q1 2025), kunye namaxabiso e-bolt 30-50% ngaphantsi kwe-European equivalents ngelixa idibana nemigangatho ye-ISO 898-1.

Imfuno eyomeleleyo yoLondolozo:

Iimeko zendlela zaseAfrika zibangela ukunxitywa kwebholithi oku-3x ngokukhawuleza kunomndilili wehlabathi. Iinqanawa zaseNigeria zithatha indawo yeebholiti zokumiswa rhoqo kwiinyanga ze-18 vs. 5 iminyaka eYurophu.

Impembelelo yoTshintsho lwamandla:

Iilori zombane (i-12% yeentengiso ezintsha eGhana) ziqhuba imfuno ye:

▸ Iibholiti zezindlu ze-aluminiyam ye-aluminiyam (i-anti-electrolytic corrosion)

▸ Iibholithi zokuxhoma iimoto ezigqunywe ngepolymer (i-vibration damping)

III. Ukusasazwa kweNgingqi

IiNdawo zoShishino: UMzantsi Afrika/iNigeria/i-Egypt ine-68% yemfuno, ibamba i-80% yee-OEM ze-auto zelizwekazi.

Imida yokukhula: Iipaki zemizi-mveliso zase-Ethiopia zenza iilori ezifuna iibholiti ezingama-9,000+ ngonyaka kwiipaseji zorhwebo zaseMpuma Afrika.

IV. Ukhuphiswano Lomhlaba

Inqanaba loku-1: I-Wurth/ITW (ubonelelo lwe-OE yeprimiyamu)

Inqanaba lesi-2: Abavelisi baseTshayina (i-60% yesabelo sentengiso yasemva kwentengiso) abagxile kwi:

▸ Iibholithi zeChassis ezinoxhathiso olongezelelekileyo lwesitshizi (iiyure ezingama-2,000+)

▸ Uyilo olukhutshwa ngokukhawuleza lokulungiswa kwendlela

Umzila okhulayo: Amashishini adibeneyo asekuhlaleni afana neGolden Dragon-Nigeria ngoku avelisa i-bolts yebakala le-10.9 ngaphakathi.

Ikamva elizayo

Imakethi iza kubona i-18% ye-CAGR ukuya kutsho ngo-2028, iqhutywa kukufakelwa kombane kwilori yemigodi kunye nokwamkelwa okusemgangathweni kwe-fasteners phantsi kwemigaqo yerhafu ye-AfCFTA.